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Newlands, Nathaniel, Ph. D.

Chercheur scientifique, Santé environnementale

Coordonnées :

4200 Highway 97 S
C.P. 5000
Summerland, Colombie-Britannique V0H 1Z0
Téléphone : 250-404-3360
Courriel : nathaniel.newlands@canada.ca

Domaines d'expertise :

  • Interdépendance des aliments, de l’eau et de l’énergie, durabilité
  • Changements climatiques, phénomènes météorologiques extrêmes
  • Modélisation intégrée, analyse des risques
  • Analyse décisionnelle, outils d’aide à la prise de décisions opérationnelles
  • Apprentissage machine, prévision spatiale
  • Agriculture de précision

Projets en cours :

  • Résilience face aux conditions climatiques extrêmes (Outils d’aide à la prise de décisions pour atténuer les effets des phénomènes météorologiques extrêmes sur la production; productivité et santé de l’agroécosystème; recherche; développement; transfert technologique)
  • Le Réseau de prévision des maladies du blé (Améliorer l’identification et la compréhension des organismes nuisibles et utiles aux cultures et au bétail; céréales; développement)

Affiliations :

  • Professeur agrégé de géographie, Université de Victoria
  • Rédacteur en chef de Frontiers in Environmental Science (études climatiques interdisciplinaires)
  • Membre de la Société statistique du Canada (SSC)
  • Membre de l’International Environmetrics Society (TIES)
  • Membre de l'American Statistical Association (ASA)
  • Membre de l’Institut professionnel de la fonction publique du Canada (IPFPC)

Publications de recherche

2017

  • Lu, W., Atkinson, D.E., Newlands, N.K. (2017). ENSO climate risk: predicting crop yield variability and coherence using cluster-based PCA, 3(4), 1343-1359. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40808-017-0382-0
  • Newlands, N.K., Gel, Y.R., Lyubchich, V., Lu, W. 2017. Weather index-based crop insurance: Exploring the benefits of Bayesian and Deep Learning models in crop yield prediction. 52nd Actuarial Research Conference (ARC 2017) Risk Management and Insurance, July 26-28: Theme: Actuarial Research at the Crossroads: Transcending Disciplines, Georgia State University (J. Mack Robinson School of Business), Atlantic, GA, USA.

2016

  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Qi, D., et Newlands, N.K. (2016). « Crop yield outlooks under extreme weather: lessons learnt from Canada. », - 40th NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Special Issue (March) NWS Science and Technology Infusion Climate Bulletin Supplement, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC, USA, p. 154-158.
  • Gagnon, P., Sheedy, C., Farenhorst, A., Cessna, A.J., Newlands, N.K., et McQueen, R.D.A. (2016). « Pesticides. », dans Clearwater, R.L., Martin, T. and Hoppe, T. (dir.) - Environmental sustainability of Canadian agriculture: Agri-environmental indicator report series -- Report #4, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Chapitre 14, p. 153-165.
  • Newlands, N.K. (2016). Future Sustainable Ecosystems: Complexity, Risk, Uncertainty -- (Chapman & Hall/CRC Applied Environmental Statistics Series), USA: Taylor & Francis. (Livre)
  • Newlands, N.K. Developing an Index-Based Methodology to Forecast the Integrated Risk of Extreme Weather to Agricultural Production Systems. Section on Risk Analysis, Invited Session on Statistical Modeling for Climate Risk Assessment at the Interface of Climate Change and Insurance -Invited Papers, Joint Statistical Meetings (JSM) , July 30-August 4th, 2016, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
  • Newlands, N.K. Keynote Address/Invited Plenary. Statistics in the Cognitive/Risk Era: Bridging Knowledge, Solutions and Pathways to a Sustainable World. 26th Annual Conference of The International Environmetrics Society 18th-22nd July, 2016, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK.

2015

  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Kouadio, L., Newlands, N.K., Davidson, A.M., Hill, H.S., Warren, R., Qian, B., Daneshfar, B., Bedard, F., et Reichert, G. (2015). « Evaluation of the Integrated Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster (ICCYF) model for in-season prediction of crop yield across the Canadian agricultural landscape. », Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 206, p. 137-150. doi : 10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.03.007
  • Gagnon, P., Sheedy, C., Farenhorst, A., Cessna, A.J., Newlands, N.K., et McQueen, R.D.A. (2015). « Environmental Sustainability of Canadian Agriculture: Agri-Environmental Indicator Report Series. », - Indicator of Risk of Water Contamination – Pesticides (IROWC-PEST), Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, p. 8 pages.
  • Kouadio, L. et Newlands, N.K. (2015). « Building capacity for spatial-based sustainability metrics in agriculture. », Decision Analytics, 2(2), p. 18 pages. doi : 10.1186/s40165-015-0011-9
  • Kouadio, L., Newlands, N.K., Potgieter, A., McLean, G., et Hill, H.S. (2015). « Exploring the Potential Impacts of Climate Variability on Spring Wheat Yield with the APSIM Decision Support Tool. », Agricultural Sciences, 6(7), p. 686-698. doi : 10.4236/as.2015.67066
  • Leggett, M., Newlands, N.K., Greenshields, D.L., West, L., Inman, S., et Koivunen, M. (2015). « Maize yield response to a phosphorus-solubilizing microbial inoculant in field trials. », Journal of Agricultural Science, 153(8), p. 1464-1478. doi : 10.1017/S0021859614001166
  • Newlands, N.K. et Stephens, D.S. (2015). Increasing confidence in agricultural crop forecasts and climate adaptation decisions with causality analysis. University of British Columbia (UBC), Technical Report #275, 10pp. (http://www.stat.ubc.ca/Research/TechReports/tr/275.pdf). (Rapport)
  • Newlands, N.K. et coll. (2015). The Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster (CCYF). April 7th, Statement for Public Release (English/French). Government of Canada (Public Affairs, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, AAFC), Canada: Government of Canada/Gouvernement du Canada. (Livre)
  • Newlands, N.K., Lu, W., et Porcelli, T.A. (2015). « Downscaling of regional climate scenarios within agricultural areas in Canada with a multi-variate, multi-site model (http://www.springer.com/mathematics/computational+science+%26+engineering/book/978-3-319-12306-6). », dans Cojocaru, M., Kotsireas, I.S., Makarov, R.N., Melnik, R., and Shodiev, H. (dir.) - Interdisciplinary Topics in Applied Mathematics, Modeling and Computational Science; Springer-Verlag. Series: Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, Vol. 117, Springer-Verlag GmbH, Chapitre 48, p. 335-340.
  • Zamar, D.S., Gopaluni, B., Sokhansanj, S., et Newlands, N.K. (2015). « Robust optimization of competing biomass supply-chains under feedstock uncertainty. », 2015 ADCHEM Conference, Whistler, B.C., Canada, June 7-10, 2015, IFAC Proceedings Volume 48, Issue 8; Oral Presentation, p. 1222-1227.

2014

2013

  • Newlands, N.K., Zamar, D.S., Clark, G.O., Zhang, Y.-C., et McConkey, B.G. (2013). « An integrated assessment model for exploring potential impacts of global change scenarios on the Canadian agricultural system. », IEEE Computer Society Paper Proceedings of the 46th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS-46), Grand Wailea, Maui, HI, USA, January 7-10, 2013, http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/freeabs_all.jsp?arnumber=6479944&abstractAccess=no&userType=inst.

2012

  • Newlands, N.K. et Townley-Smith, L. (2012). « Biodiesel from oilseeds in the Canadian Prairies and supply-chain models for exploring production cost scenarios – a review. », International Scholarly Research Network (ISRN) Agronomy, 2012(Article ID 980621), p. 1-10. doi : 10.5402/2012/980621
  • Newlands, N.K. et Zamar, D.S. (2012). « In-season probabilistic crop yield forecasting - integrating agro-climate, remote-sensing and crop phenology data. », 2012 Joint Statistical Meetings (2012 JSM): Statistics - Growing to Serve a Data Dependent Society, San Diego Convention Center, San Diego, CA, USA, July 28-August 2, 2012, Published in: JSM Proceedings, Statistical Computing Section. Alexandria, VA: American Statistical Association.
  • Newlands, N.K., Espino-Hernández, G., et Erickson, R.S. (2012). « Understanding Crop Response to Climate Variability with Complex Agroecosystem Models. », International Journal of Ecology, 2012(Article ID 756242). doi : 10.1155/2012/756242

2011

Autres publications relatives à la science

2016

  • Newlands, N.K. (2016). « Can artificial intelligence and machine learning improve extreme weather agricultural risk assessment? », Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (CMOS) and Canadian Geophysical Union Joint 50th Annual Congress, Fredericton, N.B., Canada, 29 May-2 June, 2016. (Résumé)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2016). « Sustainability and Prediction. », Agricultural Resilience Workshop, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, 6-7 June, 2016. (Présentation)
  • Smith, S., Bulmer, C., Newlands, N.K., Daneshfar, B., Frank, G., MacMillan, B., et Lelyk, G.L. (2016). « Digital soil mapping through disaggregation: aggravation or alleviation? », Canadian Society of Soil Science Annual Meeting, Kamloops, BC, Canada, 18 May, 2016, Presentation. (Résumé)

2014

  • Chipanshi, A.C., Newlands, N.K., Zhang, Y., Davidson, A.M., Kouadio, A.L., Hill, H.S., Howard, A., Qian, B., Daneshfar, B., Bedard, F., et Reichert, G. (2014). « North American Tripartite Committee on Agricultural Statistics (NATCAS) », GIS/Remote Sensing Technical Meeting, Fairfax, Virginia, USA, February 25-26, 2014. (Résumé)
  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Newlands, N.K., Zamar, D.S., Hill, H.S., et Howard, A. (2014). Canadian Crop Yield Forecast – 2015 Yield Outlook for Spring Wheat, Duram Wheat, Canola, Barely, Oats, Corn for Grain and Soybeans. (Rapport)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2014). « Probabilistic forecasting of agricultural crop yield under environmental uncertainty. », Geography Departmental Seminar, University of Victoria, September 26, 2014. (Présentation)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2014). « Sustainability metrics, uncertainty and risk in regional-scale bioenergy supply and production. », Biomass and Bioenergy Research Group (BBRG), Department of Biological and Chemical Engineering, University of British Columbia. (Présentation)
  • Newlands, N.K., Lu, W., et Porcelli, T.A. (2014). « Downscaling of regional climate scenarios within agricultural areas in Canada with a multi-variate, multi-site model. », 2013 Paper Proceedings of the Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Computational Science Interdisciplinary Conference (AMMCS), Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, 26-30 August, 2013, Springer-Verlag, p. 1-6.
  • Newlands, N.K., Smith, W.N., et Kouadio, L. (2014). « Issues with upscaling and downscaling: Theory, methods, findings, challenges. Forestry and Agriculture Greenhouse Gas Modeling Forum. », 7th Forestry and Agriculture Greenhouse Gas Modeling Forum, National Conservation Training Centre, Shepherstown, WV, USA, June 1-4, 2014.
  • Newlands, N.K., Sokhansanj, S., Gopaluni, B., et Zamar, D.S. (2014). « Bioenergy feedstocks: sustainable supply metrics and emerging economic development opportunities. », 2014 Bioenergy Modeling Workshop, Washington DC, USA, July 22-23, 2014, United States National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Department of Energy (DOE). (Résumé)

2013

  • Newlands, N.K. (2013). « Probabilistic crop yield forecasting, integrating climate, remote-sensing and phenology data. », International Environmetrics Conference (TIES), Anchorage, Alaska, USA, Theme: Statistics & Natural Resources - assessment, regulation, development, use and conservation (Oral presentation). (Résumé)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2013). « Sustainability metrics, uncertainty and risk in regional-scale bioenergy supply and production. », publié dedans Biomass and Bioenergy Research Group (BBRG), University of British Columbia, Department of Biological and Chemical Engineering (abstract).
  • Newlands, N.K., Lu, W., et Porcelli, T.A. (2013). « Downscaling of regional climate scenarios within agricultural areas in Canada with a multi-variate, multi-site model. », Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Computational Science Interdisciplinary Conference (AMMCS), Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, 26-30 August, 2013. (Résumé)
  • Zhang, Y., Chipanshi, A.C., Newlands, N.K., Davidson, A.M., Hill, H.S., Bedard, F., et Reichert, G. (2013). « Evaluation of an Integrated Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster (ICCYF) for In-season Prediction of Crop Yield Across the Canadian Agricultural Landscape. », Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (CMOS) Congress 2013, Theme: Bridging environmental science, policy and resource management (Oral presentation). (Résumé)

2012

  • Bruce, S., Randall, L., Barrett, L.G., Ritman, K., Newlands, N.K., et Nicholson, M. (2012). Using remote sensing data and crop modelling to improve production forecasting: a scoping study. Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES), Australian Government. Technical Report 12.3, Canberra, September, 22 page. (Rapport)
  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Newlands, N.K., Hill, H.S., et Zamar, D.S. (2012). « Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster (CCYF): a GIS and statistical integration of agro-climates and remote sensing information. », Workshop on the Application of Remote Sensing and GIS Technology on Crops Productivity among APEC Economies, Beijing, China, July 30-31, 2012, Published in: The Application of Remote Sensing and GIS Technology on Crops Productivity. Proceedings of Workshop, Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), p. 14 pages.
  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Newlands, N.K., et Hill, H.S. (2012). « Introducing the Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster. », 10th Annual NOAA Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW), Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (RSMAS), Florida, USA, March 13-15, 2012, Theme: Climate Services for National Security Challenges. (Affiche)
  • Newlands, N.K. et Phillips, A.J. (2012). « Statistical modeling of complex agroecosystems in a changing climate. », Planet Under Pressure 2012 Conference: New Knowledge Towards Solutions, Excel, London, UK, March 26-29, 2012.
  • Newlands, N.K., Clark, G.O., Sun, Y.-C., et McConkey, B.G. (2012). « An integrated assessment model for exploring potential impacts of global change scenarios on the Canadian agricultural system. », Planet Under Pressure 2012 Conference: New Knowledge Towards Solutions, Excel, London, UK, March 26-29, 2012.
  • Newlands, N.K., McConkey, B.G., Townley-Smith, L., Liu, T., et Huffman, E.C. (2012). « Exploring optimal configurations of regional biorefinery systems under changes in feedstock distribution and supply logistics: implications for biomass supply from marginal land. », Growing the Bioeconomy: Social, Environmental and Economic Implications, Banff, AB, Canada, October 2-5, 2012. (Affiche)
  • Newlands, N.K., Townley-Smith, L., et Porcelli, T.A. (2012). « A renewable source of jetfuel from alternative oilseeds? Predicting crop response under environmental variability. », 782: Visualization,Imaging and Image Processing/783: Modelling and Simulation/784: Wireless Communications (VIIP,MS,WC 2012), Banff, AB, Canada, July 3-5, 2012, Published in: Al Zahir, S., Hamza, M.H. and Cheng, J. (eds.) - 782: Visualization, Imaging and Image Processing / 783: Modelling and Simulation / 784: Wireless Communications (VIIP,MS,WC 2012), Acta Press, p. 283-291.

2011

  • Doria, R., Newlands, N.K., Malwankar, A., et Zamar, D.S. (2011). « Validation analysis of statistically downscaled climate within agricultural regions across Canada. », 7th International Congress on Industrial and Applied Mathematics (ICIAM), Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 16-24, 2011.
  • Newlands, N.K. et Jin, Z. (2011). Sensitivity analysis and inter-comparison of hydrology of the Versatile Soil-Moisture Budget (VSMB) (AAFC) and advection-diffusion-based PRZM transport model hydrology (US EPA)., AAFC Lethbridge Research Centre, AB. (Rapport)
  • Newlands, N.K. et Zamar, D.S. (2011). Statistical methodology for crop forecasting integrating climate, remote sensing and phenology., AAFC Lethbridge Research Centre, AB. (Rapport)
  • Newlands, N.K., Bonner, S.J., et Heckman, N.E. (2011). « Influence of teleconnections on regional climate variability: regional forecasting of agricultural crop productivity. », 7th International Congress on Industrial and Applied Mathematics (ICIAM), Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 16-24, 2011.
  • Sun, Y.-C., Newlands, N.K., Clark, G.O., et McConkey, B.G. (2011). « An integrated assessment model for exploring potential impacts of global change scenarios on the Canadian agricultural system. », Climate Change and the Implications for Plant Science: Symposium and Workshop, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada, June 7-9, 2011, P1.155. (Affiche)
  • Zamar, D.S. et Newlands, N.K. (2011). Relating land productivity, crop suitability to soil state and climate., AAFC Lethbridge Research Centre, AB. (Rapport)
  • Zidek, J.V., Cai, S., et Newlands, N.K. (2011). « Forecasting Phenological Events in Agroclimate Risk Management. », Guelph Biomathematics and Biostatistics (BioM&S) Symposium, Climate Change and Ecology: a Mathematical & Statistical Perspective, Guelph, ON, Canada, April 28, 2011. (Présentation)

2010

  • Bonner, S.J., Newlands, N.K., Qian, B., et Heckman, N.E. (2010). « Functional data analysis of the trends and predictors of Climate in British Columbia. », Joint Statistical Meetings (JSM) 2010 ‘Statistics: a key to innovation in a data-centric world’, Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 30-August 5, 2010, Oral presentation.
  • Hosseini, R., Newlands, N.K., et Espino-Hernández, G. (2010). « Bayesian model averaging for improved prediction of soil moisture and crop yield from agroecosystems models. », Joint Statistical Meetings (JSM) 2010 ‘Statistics: a key to innovation in a data-centric world’, Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 30-August 5, 2010, Invited paper on Special theme session on ‘Resiliency of Canadian agriculture to climate change and variability’; Oral presentation. (Résumé)
  • Neilsen, D., Duke, G.M., Taylor, B., Cannon, A.J., Chan, R., Van der Gulik, T.W., Newlands, N.K., Frank, G., Losso, I., et Smith, C.A.S. (2010). Climate surfaces for the Okanagan Basin Water Supply Demand Project. Appendix N Okanagan Water Supply and Demand Project http://www.obwb.ca. (Rapport)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2010). « Modeling of the spatio-temporal dynamics of energy supply from forestry and agricultural crops and residues. », Biomass Inventory Mapping and Analysis Workshop, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, June 16-17, 2010.
  • Newlands, N.K. (2010). « Perspectives on carbon-nitrogen cycling model development, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. », Workshop on C and N model validation, Ottawa, ON, Canada, June 8-9, 2010. (Présentation)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2010). « Statistical modeling of agroecosystems in a changing climate. », Invited and Sponsored by Pacific Institute for the Mathematical Sciences (PIMS), September 20, 2010. (Présentation)
  • Newlands, N.K. et Hosseini, R. (2010). « Statistical modeling of agroecosystems in a changing climate. », TIES 2010 – the 21st Annual Conference, International Environmetrics Society (TIES) ”Sustaining our environment under changing conditions: methodological challenges", Margarita Island, Venezuela, June 20-25, 2010, Oral presentation. (Résumé)

2009

  • Duke, G., Neilsen, D., Taylor, B., Cannon, A.J., Van der Gulik, T.W., Newlands, N.K., Frank, G., et Smith, C.A.S. (2009). « Climate Surfaces for the Okanagan Basin Water Supply Demand Project. », One Watershed - One Water Conference, Kelowna, BC, Canada, October 21-23, 2008, p. 73.
  • Newlands, N.K. (2009). « Bayesian network model of bioenergy supply chain dynamics. », IEA Bioenergy Multi-Tasks Conference - Biofuels & Bioenergy: A Changing Climate, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada, August 23-26, 2009. (Affiche)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2009). « Ecosystem modeling and geostatistics – a way forward. », MITACS Research Workshop on Habitat Modeling and Landscape Ecology, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, February 23-24, 2009. (Résumé)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2009). « Stochastic time-delay model of nitrous oxide emission: validation with Canadian data. », 8th Annual Pacific International Conference on Statistics, Mathematics and Related Fields, Honolulu, USA, January 13-15, 2009. (Résumé)
  • Newlands, N.K. et Erickson, R.S. (2009). « Bayesian network model of regional biofuel supply chains. », IEA Bioenergy Multi-Tasks Conference - Biofuels & Bioenergy: A Changing Climate, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada, August 23-26, 2009. (Résumé)
  • Newlands, N.K., Geng, X.Y., McNairn, H., Jarvis, I.E., Liang, S.H.L., Erickson, R.S., Phillips, A.J.L., Davidson, A.M., Porcelli, T.A., Chipanshi, A.C., Serele, C.S., et Hill, H.S. (2009). « AAFC-SAGES Agri-Environmental Monitoring Project Collaborators, G. Espino-Hernandez, Biophysical modeling of soil moisture integrating SAR and sensor web networks. », Remote Sensing Workshop, Kananaskis, Alberta, Canada. (Résumé)
  • Phillips, A.J.L., Newlands, N.K., et Erickson, R.S. (2009). « Impact of Climate Freeze-Thaw Variability on Soil Water and Nitrogen Transport. », 25e Congrès de l'Est du Canada de Recherche sur la Qualité de l'Eau / 25th Eastern Canadian Symposium on Water Quality Research, University of Ottawa/Université d’Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada, October 30, 2009. (Résumé)
  • Serele, C.S., Wu, W., Zidek, J.V., Newlands, N.K., et Hill, H.S. (2009). « Development of an agroclimatic model for wheat yield forecasting across the Canadian Prairies. », Soils and Crops Workshop 2009, Western College of Veterinary Medicine, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, February 25-26, 2009, Oral presentation. (Résumé)
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