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Agroclimate National Risk Report – For period: September 29 to October 14, 2020

This report provides timely information on the regional agroclimate conditions, risks, and impacts across Canada. Reports are produced on a bi-weekly basis.

National overview

The agroclimate risk this reporting period was low across the country as harvest comes to a close. The most significant climate-related risks to agriculture in Canada as of October 14 were dry conditions in parts of the Prairie region which may impact fall-seeded winter cereals.

Over the next two weeks, Environment and Climate Change Canada is forecasting active weather across much of Western Canada, bringing rain to British Columbia and mixed precipitation and cool temperatures to the Prairies. Several systems are also expected to bring precipitation to Eastern Canada but temperatures are forecast to be near to above normal.

Maps

14 Day Accumulated Precipitation as of October 12, 2020

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Over the 7 day period from September 15 to 21, much of the Prairie region experienced frost conditions. Much of Saskatchewan and Manitoba reached lows of -2 to -6°C and a pocket in Saskatchewan was as cool as -6 to -10°C. Daily low temperature records were broken in locations across Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Parts of Ontario, Quebec, and the Maritimes also had cool temperatures with some areas reaching -6°C.

30 Day Precipitation Percentile as of October 12, 2020

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Over the past 30 days, precipitation ranged from near to below average across the country. Significant areas of western Alberta, southern Saskatchewan, and southern and central Manitoba, received extremely to record low precipitation. Dry conditions in the southern Prairies helped crops mature and aided harvest progress. Some coastal stations in British Columbia and parts of Atlantic Canada are reporting extremely high precipitation over the last month.

Regional Conditions

Forecast

This report was created with help from our network of Agroclimate Impact Reporter volunteers. Each month, they help us report on current conditions and weather-related risks to Canada’s agriculture sector. Join the network if you are interested in becoming an Agroclimate Impact Reporter.

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