Newlands, Nathaniel, Ph.D.

Research Scientist, Environmental Health


Contact Information:

4200 Highway 97 S
PO Box 5000
Summerland, British Columbia V0H 1Z0
Telephone: 250-404-3360
Email: nathaniel.newlands@canada.ca

Areas of Expertise:

  • Food-water-energy nexus, Sustainability
  • Climate change, Extreme events
  • Integrated modeling, Risk analysis
  • Decision analytics, Operational decision-support tools
  • Machine-Learning, Spatial prediction
  • Precision agriculture

Current Projects:

  • Resilience to Climate Extremes (Decision support tools to mitigate extreme weather event impacts on production, Agro-Ecosystem Productivity and Health, Research; Development; Technology Transfer)
  • The Wheat Disease Forecasting Network (Improving the identification and understanding of crop and livestock pests and beneficial organisms, Cereals, Development)

Affiliations:

  • Adjunct Associate Professor in Geography, University of Victoria
  • Editor for Frontiers in Environmental Science (Interdisciplinary Climate Studies)
  • Member of the Canadian Statistical Society (SSC)
  • Member of the The International Environmetrics Society (TIES)
  • Member of the Professional Institute of the Public Service of Canada (PIPSC)

Research Publications:

The links below lead to abstracts with access to full text.

2016

  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Qi, D., and Newlands, N.K. (2016). "Crop yield outlooks under extreme weather: lessons learnt from Canada.", - 40th NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop Special Issue (March) NWS Science and Technology Infusion Climate Bulletin Supplement, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC, USA, pp. 154-158.
  • Gagnon, P., Sheedy, C., Farenhorst, A., Cessna, A.J., Newlands, N.K., and McQueen, R.D.A. (2016). "Pesticides.", in Clearwater, R.L., Martin, T. and Hoppe, T. (eds.) - Environmental sustainability of Canadian agriculture: Agri-environmental indicator report series -- Report #4, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Chapter 14, pp. 153-165.

2015

  • Chipanshi, A.C., Newlands, N.K., Cherneski, P., Hill, H.S., and Howard, A. (2015). "Mitigation and adaptation strategies for reducing agricultural greenhouse gases in Canada - a review.", in Lac, S., McHenry, M. and Kulshreshtha, S. (eds.) - Agriculture Management for Climate Change, Nova Publishers.
  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Kouadio, L., Newlands, N.K., Davidson, A.M., Hill, H.S., Warren, R., Qian, B., Daneshfar, B., Bedard, F., and Reichert, G. (2015). "Evaluation of the Integrated Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster (ICCYF) model for in-season prediction of crop yield across the Canadian agricultural landscape.", Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 206, pp. 137-150. doi : 10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.03.007
  • Gagnon, P., Sheedy, C., Farenhorst, A., Cessna, A.J., Newlands, N.K., and McQueen, R.D.A. (2015). "Environmental Sustainability of Canadian Agriculture: Agri-Environmental Indicator Report Series.", - Indicator of Risk of Water Contamination – Pesticides (IROWC-PEST), Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, pp. 8 pages.
  • Hosseini, R., Newlands, N.K., Dean, C., and Takemura, A. (2015). "Statistical modeling of soil moisture, integrating satellite, remote-sensing (SAR) and ground-based data.", Remote Sensing, 7(3), pp. 2752-2780. doi : 10.3390/rs70302752
  • Kouadio, L. and Newlands, N.K. (2015). "Building capacity for spatial-based sustainability metrics in agriculture.", Decision Analytics, 2(2), pp. 18 pages. doi : 10.1186/s40165-015-0011-9
  • Kouadio, L., Newlands, N.K., Potgieter, A., McLean, G., and Hill, H.S. (2015). "Exploring the Potential Impacts of Climate Variability on Spring Wheat Yield with the APSIM Decision Support Tool.", Agricultural Sciences, 6(7), pp. 686-698. doi : 10.4236/as.2015.67066
  • Leggett, M., Newlands, N.K., Greenshields, D.L., West, L., Inman, S., and Koivunen, M. (2015). "Maize yield response to a phosphorus-solubilizing microbial inoculant in field trials.", Journal of Agricultural Science, 153(8), pp. 1464-1478. doi : 10.1017/S0021859614001166
  • Newlands, N.K. and Stephens, D.S. (2015). Increasing confidence in agricultural crop forecasts and climate adaptation decisions with causality analysis. University of British Columbia (UBC), Technical Report #275, 10pp. (http://www.stat.ubc.ca/Research/TechReports/tr/275.pdf). (Report)
  • Newlands, N.K. et al. (2015). The Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster (CCYF). April 7th, Statement for Public Release (English/French). Government of Canada (Public Affairs, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, AAFC), Canada: Government of Canada/Gouvernement du Canada. (Book)
  • Newlands, N.K., Lu, W., and Porcelli, T.A. (2015). "Downscaling of regional climate scenarios within agricultural areas in Canada with a multi-variate, multi-site model (http://www.springer.com/mathematics/computational+science+%26+engineering/book/978-3-319-12306-6).", in Cojocaru, M., Kotsireas, I.S., Makarov, R.N., Melnik, R., and Shodiev, H. (eds.) - Interdisciplinary Topics in Applied Mathematics, Modeling and Computational Science; Springer-Verlag. Series: Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, Vol. 117, Springer-Verlag GmbH, Chapter 48, pp. 335-340.
  • Zamar, D.S., Gopaluni, B., Sokhansanj, S., and Newlands, N.K. (2015). "Robust optimization of competing biomass supply-chains under feedstock uncertainty.", 2015 ADCHEM Conference, Whistler, B.C., Canada, June 7-10, 2015, IFAC Proceedings Volume 48, Issue 8; Oral Presentation, pp. 1222-1227.

2014

2013

  • Newlands, N.K., Zamar, D.S., Clark, G.O., Zhang, Y.-C., and McConkey, B.G. (2013). "An integrated assessment model for exploring potential impacts of global change scenarios on the Canadian agricultural system.", IEEE Computer Society Paper Proceedings of the 46th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS-46), Grand Wailea, Maui, HI, USA, January 7-10, 2013, http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/freeabs_all.jsp?arnumber=6479944&abstractAccess=no&userType=inst.

2012

2011

Other Science Related Publications:

2016

  • Newlands, N.K. (2016). "Can artificial intelligence and machine learning improve extreme weather agricultural risk assessment?", Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (CMOS) and Canadian Geophysical Union Joint 50th Annual Congress, Fredericton, N.B., Canada, 29 May-2 June, 2016. (Abstract)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2016). "Sustainability and Prediction.", Agricultural Resilience Workshop, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, 6-7 June, 2016. (Presentation)
  • Smith, S., Bulmer, C., Newlands, N.K., Daneshfar, B., Frank, G., MacMillan, B., and Lelyk, G.L. (2016). "Digital soil mapping through disaggregation: aggravation or alleviation?", Canadian Society of Soil Science Annual Meeting, Kamloops, BC, Canada, 18 May, 2016, Presentation. (Abstract)

2014

  • Chipanshi, A.C., Newlands, N.K., Zhang, Y., Davidson, A.M., Kouadio, A.L., Hill, H.S., Howard, A., Qian, B., Daneshfar, B., Bedard, F., and Reichert, G. (2014). "North American Tripartite Committee on Agricultural Statistics (NATCAS)", GIS/Remote Sensing Technical Meeting, Fairfax, Virginia, USA, February 25-26, 2014. (Abstract)
  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Newlands, N.K., Zamar, D.S., Hill, H.S., and Howard, A. (2014). Canadian Crop Yield Forecast – 2015 Yield Outlook for Spring Wheat, Duram Wheat, Canola, Barely, Oats, Corn for Grain and Soybeans. (Report)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2014). "Probabilistic forecasting of agricultural crop yield under environmental uncertainty.", Geography Departmental Seminar, University of Victoria, September 26, 2014. (Presentation)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2014). "Sustainability metrics, uncertainty and risk in regional-scale bioenergy supply and production.", Biomass and Bioenergy Research Group (BBRG), Department of Biological and Chemical Engineering, University of British Columbia. (Presentation)
  • Newlands, N.K., Lu, W., and Porcelli, T.A. (2014). "Downscaling of regional climate scenarios within agricultural areas in Canada with a multi-variate, multi-site model.", 2013 Paper Proceedings of the Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Computational Science Interdisciplinary Conference (AMMCS), Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, 26-30 August, 2013, Springer-Verlag, pp. 1-6.
  • Newlands, N.K., Smith, W.N., and Kouadio, L. (2014). "Issues with upscaling and downscaling: Theory, methods, findings, challenges. Forestry and Agriculture Greenhouse Gas Modeling Forum.", 7th Forestry and Agriculture Greenhouse Gas Modeling Forum, National Conservation Training Centre, Shepherstown, WV, USA, June 1-4, 2014.
  • Newlands, N.K., Sokhansanj, S., Gopaluni, B., and Zamar, D.S. (2014). "Bioenergy feedstocks: sustainable supply metrics and emerging economic development opportunities.", 2014 Bioenergy Modeling Workshop, Washington DC, USA, July 22-23, 2014, United States National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Department of Energy (DOE). (Abstract)

2013

  • Newlands, N.K. (2013). "Probabilistic crop yield forecasting, integrating climate, remote-sensing and phenology data.", International Environmetrics Conference (TIES), Anchorage, Alaska, USA, Theme: Statistics & Natural Resources - assessment, regulation, development, use and conservation (Oral presentation). (Abstract)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2013). "Sustainability metrics, uncertainty and risk in regional-scale bioenergy supply and production.", published in Biomass and Bioenergy Research Group (BBRG), University of British Columbia, Department of Biological and Chemical Engineering (abstract).
  • Newlands, N.K., Lu, W., and Porcelli, T.A. (2013). "Downscaling of regional climate scenarios within agricultural areas in Canada with a multi-variate, multi-site model.", Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Computational Science Interdisciplinary Conference (AMMCS), Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, 26-30 August, 2013. (Abstract)
  • Zhang, Y., Chipanshi, A.C., Newlands, N.K., Davidson, A.M., Hill, H.S., Bedard, F., and Reichert, G. (2013). "Evaluation of an Integrated Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster (ICCYF) for In-season Prediction of Crop Yield Across the Canadian Agricultural Landscape.", Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (CMOS) Congress 2013, Theme: Bridging environmental science, policy and resource management (Oral presentation). (Abstract)

2012

  • Bruce, S., Randall, L., Barrett, L.G., Ritman, K., Newlands, N.K., and Nicholson, M. (2012). Using remote sensing data and crop modelling to improve production forecasting: a scoping study. Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES), Australian Government. Technical Report 12.3, Canberra, September, 22 page. (Report)
  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Newlands, N.K., Hill, H.S., and Zamar, D.S. (2012). "Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster (CCYF): a GIS and statistical integration of agro-climates and remote sensing information.", Workshop on the Application of Remote Sensing and GIS Technology on Crops Productivity among APEC Economies, Beijing, China, July 30-31, 2012, Published in: The Application of Remote Sensing and GIS Technology on Crops Productivity. Proceedings of Workshop, Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), pp. 14 pages.
  • Chipanshi, A.C., Zhang, Y., Newlands, N.K., and Hill, H.S. (2012). "Introducing the Canadian Crop Yield Forecaster.", 10th Annual NOAA Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW), Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (RSMAS), Florida, USA, March 13-15, 2012, Theme: Climate Services for National Security Challenges. (Poster)
  • Newlands, N.K. and Phillips, A.J. (2012). "Statistical modeling of complex agroecosystems in a changing climate.", Planet Under Pressure 2012 Conference: New Knowledge Towards Solutions, Excel, London, UK, March 26-29, 2012.
  • Newlands, N.K., Clark, G.O., Sun, Y.-C., and McConkey, B.G. (2012). "An integrated assessment model for exploring potential impacts of global change scenarios on the Canadian agricultural system.", Planet Under Pressure 2012 Conference: New Knowledge Towards Solutions, Excel, London, UK, March 26-29, 2012.
  • Newlands, N.K., McConkey, B.G., Townley-Smith, L., Liu, T., and Huffman, E.C. (2012). "Exploring optimal configurations of regional biorefinery systems under changes in feedstock distribution and supply logistics: implications for biomass supply from marginal land.", Growing the Bioeconomy: Social, Environmental and Economic Implications, Banff, AB, Canada, October 2-5, 2012. (Poster)
  • Newlands, N.K., Townley-Smith, L., and Porcelli, T.A. (2012). "A renewable source of jetfuel from alternative oilseeds? Predicting crop response under environmental variability.", 782: Visualization,Imaging and Image Processing/783: Modelling and Simulation/784: Wireless Communications (VIIP,MS,WC 2012), Banff, AB, Canada, July 3-5, 2012, Published in: Al Zahir, S., Hamza, M.H. and Cheng, J. (eds.) - 782: Visualization, Imaging and Image Processing / 783: Modelling and Simulation / 784: Wireless Communications (VIIP,MS,WC 2012), Acta Press, pp. 283-291.

2011

  • Doria, R., Newlands, N.K., Malwankar, A., and Zamar, D.S. (2011). "Validation analysis of statistically downscaled climate within agricultural regions across Canada.", 7th International Congress on Industrial and Applied Mathematics (ICIAM), Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 16-24, 2011.
  • Newlands, N.K. and Jin, Z. (2011). Sensitivity analysis and inter-comparison of hydrology of the Versatile Soil-Moisture Budget (VSMB) (AAFC) and advection-diffusion-based PRZM transport model hydrology (US EPA)., AAFC Lethbridge Research Centre, AB. (Report)
  • Newlands, N.K. and Zamar, D.S. (2011). Statistical methodology for crop forecasting integrating climate, remote sensing and phenology., AAFC Lethbridge Research Centre, AB. (Report)
  • Newlands, N.K., Bonner, S.J., and Heckman, N.E. (2011). "Influence of teleconnections on regional climate variability: regional forecasting of agricultural crop productivity.", 7th International Congress on Industrial and Applied Mathematics (ICIAM), Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 16-24, 2011.
  • Sun, Y.-C., Newlands, N.K., Clark, G.O., and McConkey, B.G. (2011). "An integrated assessment model for exploring potential impacts of global change scenarios on the Canadian agricultural system.", Climate Change and the Implications for Plant Science: Symposium and Workshop, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada, June 7-9, 2011, P1.155. (Poster)
  • Zamar, D.S. and Newlands, N.K. (2011). Relating land productivity, crop suitability to soil state and climate., AAFC Lethbridge Research Centre, AB. (Report)
  • Zidek, J.V., Cai, S., and Newlands, N.K. (2011). "Forecasting Phenological Events in Agroclimate Risk Management.", Guelph Biomathematics and Biostatistics (BioM&S) Symposium, Climate Change and Ecology: a Mathematical & Statistical Perspective, Guelph, ON, Canada, April 28, 2011. (Presentation)

2010

  • Bonner, S.J., Newlands, N.K., Qian, B., and Heckman, N.E. (2010). "Functional data analysis of the trends and predictors of Climate in British Columbia.", Joint Statistical Meetings (JSM) 2010 ‘Statistics: a key to innovation in a data-centric world’, Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 30-August 5, 2010, Oral presentation.
  • Hosseini, R., Newlands, N.K., and Espino-Hernández, G. (2010). "Bayesian model averaging for improved prediction of soil moisture and crop yield from agroecosystems models.", Joint Statistical Meetings (JSM) 2010 ‘Statistics: a key to innovation in a data-centric world’, Vancouver, BC, Canada, July 30-August 5, 2010, Invited paper on Special theme session on ‘Resiliency of Canadian agriculture to climate change and variability’; Oral presentation. (Abstract)
  • Neilsen, D., Duke, G.M., Taylor, B., Cannon, A.J., Chan, R., Van der Gulik, T.W., Newlands, N.K., Frank, G., Losso, I., and Smith, C.A.S. (2010). Climate surfaces for the Okanagan Basin Water Supply Demand Project. Appendix N Okanagan Water Supply and Demand Project http://www.obwb.ca. (Report)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2010). "Modeling of the spatio-temporal dynamics of energy supply from forestry and agricultural crops and residues.", Biomass Inventory Mapping and Analysis Workshop, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, June 16-17, 2010.
  • Newlands, N.K. (2010). "Perspectives on carbon-nitrogen cycling model development, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis.", Workshop on C and N model validation, Ottawa, ON, Canada, June 8-9, 2010. (Presentation)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2010). "Statistical modeling of agroecosystems in a changing climate.", Invited and Sponsored by Pacific Institute for the Mathematical Sciences (PIMS), September 20, 2010. (Presentation)
  • Newlands, N.K. and Hosseini, R. (2010). "Statistical modeling of agroecosystems in a changing climate.", TIES 2010 – the 21st Annual Conference, International Environmetrics Society (TIES) ”Sustaining our environment under changing conditions: methodological challenges", Margarita Island, Venezuela, June 20-25, 2010, Oral presentation. (Abstract)

2009

  • Duke, G., Neilsen, D., Taylor, B., Cannon, A.J., Van der Gulik, T.W., Newlands, N.K., Frank, G., and Smith, C.A.S. (2009). "Climate Surfaces for the Okanagan Basin Water Supply Demand Project.", One Watershed - One Water Conference, Kelowna, BC, Canada, October 21-23, 2008, pp. 73.
  • Newlands, N.K. (2009). "Bayesian network model of bioenergy supply chain dynamics.", IEA Bioenergy Multi-Tasks Conference - Biofuels & Bioenergy: A Changing Climate, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada, August 23-26, 2009. (Poster)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2009). "Ecosystem modeling and geostatistics – a way forward.", MITACS Research Workshop on Habitat Modeling and Landscape Ecology, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, February 23-24, 2009. (Abstract)
  • Newlands, N.K. (2009). "Stochastic time-delay model of nitrous oxide emission: validation with Canadian data.", 8th Annual Pacific International Conference on Statistics, Mathematics and Related Fields, Honolulu, USA, January 13-15, 2009. (Abstract)
  • Newlands, N.K. and Erickson, R.S. (2009). "Bayesian network model of regional biofuel supply chains.", IEA Bioenergy Multi-Tasks Conference - Biofuels & Bioenergy: A Changing Climate, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada, August 23-26, 2009. (Abstract)
  • Newlands, N.K., Geng, X.Y., McNairn, H., Jarvis, I.E., Liang, S.H.L., Erickson, R.S., Phillips, A.J.L., Davidson, A.M., Porcelli, T.A., Chipanshi, A.C., Serele, C.S., and Hill, H.S. (2009). "AAFC-SAGES Agri-Environmental Monitoring Project Collaborators, G. Espino-Hernandez, Biophysical modeling of soil moisture integrating SAR and sensor web networks.", Remote Sensing Workshop, Kananaskis, Alberta, Canada. (Abstract)
  • Phillips, A.J.L., Newlands, N.K., and Erickson, R.S. (2009). "Impact of Climate Freeze-Thaw Variability on Soil Water and Nitrogen Transport.", 25e Congrès de l'Est du Canada de Recherche sur la Qualité de l'Eau / 25th Eastern Canadian Symposium on Water Quality Research, University of Ottawa/Université d’Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada, October 30, 2009. (Abstract)
  • Serele, C.S., Wu, W., Zidek, J.V., Newlands, N.K., and Hill, H.S. (2009). "Development of an agroclimatic model for wheat yield forecasting across the Canadian Prairies.", Soils and Crops Workshop 2009, Western College of Veterinary Medicine, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, February 25-26, 2009, Oral presentation. (Abstract)
Date modified: