Agroclimate National Risk Report – September 24 to October 8, 2019

This report provides timely information on the regional agroclimate conditions, risks and impacts across Canada. Reports are produced on a bi-weekly basis.

National overview

The most significant risks to agriculture over the reporting period were:

In British Columbia, the Peace region continues to face harvest delays of greater than four weeks due to wet conditions. In the central interior of British Columbia, abnormally high end of season rainfall has slowed forage and grain harvest resulting in some producers sending cattle to market this fall.

Across the Prairies, harvest is three to four weeks behind with 34, 55 and 71 per cent of crops harvested in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba respectively. Crops have degraded rapidly. Early season drought has resulted in hay and feed shortages in all three prairie provinces. Early season drought has resulted in hay and feed shortages in all three provinces. However, poor quality crops could potentially be used for livestock feed, reducing feed shortage issues, as long as producers are able to harvest the crop.

In eastern Canada, harvest delays are not as severe but cool temperatures and variable maturity continued to impact late-seeded and late-season crops, most notably corn and soybeans. Crops need two to three weeks to mature. Producers are concerned with the increasing likelihood of frost.

The forecast for October 8 to 22, 2019, is for below normal temperatures across western Canada, particularly the southern extent of British Columbia and Alberta. Below normal temperatures are forecast for Atlantic Canada. Precipitation is forecasted for much of British Columbia, Manitoba and the Atlantic region. Manitoba is expected to receive 60 to 80mm. In eastern Canada, mild but wet conditions are expected.

Description of this image follows.
Figure 1: Canadian Drought Monitor Assessment, September 2019

Detailed view of the areas of highest risk

British Columbia:

Alberta:

Saskatchewan:

Manitoba:

Ontario:

Quebec:

The forecast:

Figure 2: Forecast Number of Frost Days (< −2°C) for the period October 14 to 20, 2019.

This report was created with help from our network of Agroclimate Impact Reporter volunteers. Each month, they help us report on current conditions and weather-related risks to Canada’s agriculture sector. Interested in becoming an Agroclimate Impact Reporter? Join the network.

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