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Agroclimate National Risk Report – November 5 to December 3, 2019

This report provides timely information on the regional agroclimate conditions, risks and impacts across Canada. This is the last report for the 2019 growing season. Reporting will resume in spring 2020.

National overview

The most significant climate related risk to agriculture over the reporting period were:

Frequent precipitation, excess moisture and poor drying conditions have caused substantial and widespread crop degradation, yield losses, crop abandonment and record harvest delays throughout western Canada.

In eastern Canada, late maturing crops were subjected to cool wet conditions, which led to harvest delays and a significant amount of crop remaining in the field.

Above-normal temperatures are forecast across the country for the month of December. Warm temperatures may help producers in eastern Canada advance harvest, but the season is finished in western Canada. The three-month forecast for this winter predicts continued above-normal temperatures across most of the country and above-average precipitation through British Columbia, the northern Prairies, and the Great Lakes. With saturated soils, abundant surface water and full riverbeds, there is concern over spring runoff and the potential for flooding events with much of Canada’s agricultural areas heading into winter.

Harvest season is complete across most of the country. Harvesting delays have pushed back winter wheat seeding, which will limit yield potential in 2020.

Description of this image follows.
Figure 1: Precipitation Compared to Normal September 1 to November 30, 2019

Detailed view of the areas of highest risk

British Columbia:

Alberta:

Saskatchewan:

Manitoba:

Ontario:

Quebec:

The forecast:

Figure 2: Difference from Normal Soil Moisture (mm) as of November 30, 2019.

This report was created with help from our network of Agroclimate Impact Reporter volunteers. Each month, they help us report on current conditions and weather-related risks to Canada's agriculture sector. Interested in becoming an Agroclimate Impact Reporter? Join the network.

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